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Cross-Strait Tensions


19 June 2024

Taiwan Strait Tensions Ramp Up

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Taiwan Strait tourism has halted as the result of the Taiwan government’s ban on all organized Taiwanese tour groups to the mainland, which took effect on 1 June.
28 May 2024

Taiwan’s Challenging Security Environment

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Unauthorized public disclosure of sensitive government information and Taiwan individuals’ actions on behalf of Chinese entities spotlight Taiwan’s challenging security environment.
02 May 2024

Bilateral Tensions Persist Despite US Secretary Blinken’s China Visit 

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US Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s recent visit to China did not resolve fundamental differences on key issues between the US and China.
04 March 2024

US Congress Affirms Security Support for Taiwan 

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Pamir assesses that China's immediate reactions to US Congressional support for Taiwan, the latest US arms sales package, and an ongoing US-Japan military exercise directed against a potential “China threat” suggest greater concern for growing US-Taiwan security cooperation than with what has become routine US-Japan military coordination. 
01 March 2024

China Risks Drive Taiwan’s Declining Investments 

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Once a mainstay of Taiwan investment, China has become increasingly unattractive to small- and medium-sized businesses that now seek to pull out completely within five years and invest elsewhere.
26 February 2024

China Decries Being Named ‘Hypothetical Enemy’ in US-led Joint Military Exercises

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Pamir assesses that despite China’s criticism of US-led joint military exercises with Japan and Australia, Beijing will not rashly initiate military conflict over Taiwan. 
02 February 2024

Taiwan’s Diplomatic Allies Dwindling

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Seve Paeniu, Tuvalu’s top contender for its prime minister position, has called for the new government to consider the country’s economic interests and debate the issue of whether to have diplomatic relations with Taiwan or China, according to international media reporting. 
01 February 2024

US Congress Supports New Taiwan Administration

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On 24 January a bipartisan congressional delegation led by Congressional Taiwan Caucus co-chairs Representatives Mario Diaz Balart and Ami Bera arrived in Taiwan for a three-day visit.
23 January 2024

US Strengthens Military Ties With Taiwan

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In December 2023, the Biden administration approved its 12th arms sale to Taiwan. President Joe Biden signed measures into law calling for strengthened US military ties with Taiwan.
22 January 2024

Taiwan’s Economic Decoupling From China Gains Traction

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Taiwan’s policy of economic decoupling from China has resulted in the weakening of Taiwan’s economic ties to China, even though China remains Taiwan’s largest export destination and source of imports.
16 January 2024

Pamir Strategic Insights Issue 4: US reaction to Taiwan's Presidential Election

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Washington’s measured response to the results of Taiwan’s presidential election reaffirms US efforts to uphold the status quo vis-à-vis China and Taiwan.
16 January 2024

Pamir Strategic Insights Issue 3: China condemns Taiwan's Presidential Election results

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Beijing’s disinformation campaigns combined with economic and military pressure failed to influence the outcome of Taiwan’s presidential election in favor of the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) party.
16 January 2024

Pamir Strategic Insights Issue 2: Taiwan President-elect's victory formula

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Taiwan Vice President William Lai’s (LAI Ching-te) election victory on 13 January marked the first time since Taiwan started direct presidential elections in 1996 that a party will hold the presidency over three consecutive terms.
11 January 2024

2024 Taiwan Presidential and Legislative Elections Outlook

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Taiwan’s presidential and legislative elections scheduled to take place this coming Saturday are the first set of elections in what will be a “year of elections.”
10 January 2024

Taiwan’s economy with risk exposure in China and cross-Strait tensions are causing concern for Western companies

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Cross-Strait tensions, and the 2024 Taiwan presidential elections, are prompting some Western organizations and investors to diversify away from both Taiwan and China in order to minimize risk exposure to the mainland.

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04 November 2024

New PRC Cyber Data Security Regulations Will Impact U.S. Sensitive Data in China

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On 24 September, the State Council of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) issued the order to promulgate the “Regulations on the Management of Network Data Security” (网络数据安全管理条例), hereafter referred to as Cyber Data Security Regulations).
01 November 2024

China and Vietnam Play Down Disputes in the South China Sea

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On 29 September, a Vietnamese fishing boat clashed with Chinese maritime law enforcement ships in the disputed waters around the Paracel Islands in the South China Sea (SCS).
17 October 2024

Beijing’s Pursuit of Green Economy Will Strain China’s Foreign Relations

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On 11 August, the Chinese government issued the “Opinions of the CCP Central Committee and the State Council on Expediting Comprehensive Green Transformation for Economic and Social Development” (中共中央 国务院关于加快经济社会发展全面绿色转型的意见).
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