Resource Library
China Update - Pentagon’s comments on China confirm timeline for potential hostilities is contracting - 1 February 2023
Minihan’s memo and the ‘first island chain’ General Mike Minihan, Commander of the US Air Mobility Command (AMC), sent out a memo on 27 January telling his troops, “I hope I am wrong, my gut tells me [China and US] will fight in 2025,” as first reported by NBC News.
Growing calls for a Free Trade Agreement between the US and Taiwan
Taiwan is pushing for deeper institutionalized trade ties with the United States, as Taipei diversifies its trade ties beyond the mainland. At the same time, Washington’s economic policy toward Taiwan is changing as China’s growing military and political assertiveness continues to exacerbate the region’s risk environment.
Taiwan Update - US Taiwan Enhancement Resilience Act (TERA) substantially strengthens US-Taiwan military cooperation - 20 January 2023
The Taiwan Enhancement Resilience Act (TERA), signed by President Biden on 23 December 2022 as part of the Fiscal 2023 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), represents a significant increase in US military support to Taiwan and quickly drew condemnation from China.
Pamir expands to provide full management consultancy service for businesses investing in China
Pamir has expanded its service offering and is now providing a full advisory service.
China’s growing 5G influence in developing economies
Africa and the Middle East provide the conditions for China and Russia to advance their shared and separate agendas.
China-Russia Cooperation in Africa and the Middle East
Africa and the Middle East provide the conditions for China and Russia to advance their shared and separate agendas.
China and Brazil strengthen strategic trade and investment partnership
China’s interest in Brazil and Latin America beyond is part of its ongoing Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which aims to extend China’s influence across Latin America and more broadly the Global South. Brazilian President Lula da Silva is eager to strengthen economic ties with China.
Closer ties between China and Russia
Cooperation between China and Russia has been growing for some months now, as China provides Russia with an economic lifeline, while gaining a significant increase in the delivery of Russian oil and gas. The symbolic meeting between the two leaders in March strengthens those ties further.
Risk to civilian ships and aircraft in the South China Sea
In recent years, China has militarized several disputed islands in the South China Sea. As an essential artery for world trade, it poses an economic and political security threat to the world. Increasing skirmishes between China, the US, Australia, and other countries, is also increasing the risk of incidents involving civilian shipping and aircraft.
Japan-China relations deteriorate
For the first time, Japan has identified China as an unprecedented “strategic challenge”, leading it to announce three new defense strategies that will guide Japan’s defense posture for the next 5 to 10 years. In response, Japan will increase its 2023-2027 defense budget to $315 billion, nearly 1.6 times that for 2019- 2023, and equal to the defense budget of Russia.
Taiwan: “The red line”
For Beijing, Taiwan is “the very core of China's core interests [and] the first red line that must not be crossed in China-US relations”. The US and its allies view the Taiwan Strait as a potential “choke point” for the global supply chain, while the Taiwan population is wary of provoking Beijing.
China’s post-COVID re-emergence
As the government of the People's Republic of China abandons its strict Covid policies, its population and economy should expect to face some tough challenges.
Semiconductors: The new global battlefield
Far-reaching US measures to sanction China’s developing semiconductor industry have already had extensive implications for the global supply chain. As chips power every device we own – from smart TVs to communication satellites – a new global battleground is being drawn.
The rise of Chinese state-sponsored cyber-attacks feeds growing US national security concerns
The global cyber security landscape has seen increasing threats over the last few years. The COVID pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and heightened US-China tensions over Taiwan have all provided fertile ground for cyberattacks against businesses and individuals.
How are China and Russia advancing their shared agendas?
Download our recent analyst paper to understand the key implications of recent China-Russia diplomatic developments.